Breaking Down Your Team’s Chances In The 2012 NBA Draft Lottery

By: 05.30.12

Chance of getting the:
No. 1 Pick – 3.6 percent
No. 2 Pick – 4.16 percent
No. 3 Pick – 4.9 percent
Any top-3 pick – 12.66 percent

If not a top-7 pick, it could belong to the Utah Jazz because of last year’s Deron Williams trade.

Representative: General Manager Bob Myers
Despite their low chances of getting a top-3 pick, the Warriors have faith that their unique good luck charms will do the trick. From the San Francisco Chronicle:

Co-owner Peter Guber, general manager Bob Myers and team spokesman Raymond Ridder are arriving in Times Square with good luck charms that seem to be lessening the pressures of the all-or-nothing lottery, if not actually increasing their chances.

Guber was given a massive tooth from a great white shark several years back. He said it’s much larger than the normal size, measuring almost 3 inches in length and weighing nearly 2 pounds.
He started believing in the lucky powers of the tooth when he and Joe Lacob‘s “underdog” ownership group outbid Larry Ellison for the Warriors in 2010. It may have had something to do with a film he produced, “The Kids Are All Right,” winning the Golden Globe in 2010, too.

“It brought me the Warriors, so why can’t it bring the Warriors a pick?” Guber said.

Guber will make sure Myers rubs the tooth before Wednesday, when the new general manager will represent the team on the 14-team dais. Myers was still taking suggestions for his good luck charm Monday, but he’s leaning toward bringing an American Indian coin.

The coin was given to the Warriors by Cache Creek Casino Resort chairman Marshall McKay, who lives in the Yocha Dehe tribal community and speaks to the coin’s propitious powers.
“I’m open to more suggestions, but this seems pretty serious. If it works, it’s even more serious,” Myers said.

Chance of getting the:
No. 1 Pick – 3.5 percent
No. 2 Pick – 4.05 percent
No. 3 Pick – 4.77 percent
Any top-3 pick – 12.32 percent

Representative: Head Coach Dwane Casey
Could the Raps actually get the No. 1 pick? It is possible:

Chance of getting the:
No. 1 Pick – 1.7 percent
No. 2 Pick – 2.00 percent
No. 3 Pick – 2.40 percent
Any top-3 pick – 6.10 percent

Representative: Point Guard Brandon Knight
According to Tom Ziller of SB Nation this is a terrible idea as he said last year: “Sending last year’s top pick never works; witness: Tyreke Evans repped the Kings last year (2010), and Sacramento fell two spots.”

Chance of getting the:
No. 1 Pick – .8 percent
No. 2 Pick – .95 percent
No. 3 Pick – 1.15 percent
Any top-3 pick – 2.90 percent

If the Nets don’t get a top-3 pick, the Blazers will get it because of the mid-season Gerald Wallace trade.

Representative: Guard Wesley Matthews
With no GM, a lot is still up in the air for the Blazers, but at least Matthews is excited to be representing the team at the lottery, tweeting out this morning: “Undrafted to representing #ripcity at the lottery. Let’s go! #ThankYouGod”

Chance of getting the:
No. 1 Pick – .7 percent
No. 2 Pick – .83 percent
No. 3 Pick – 1.01 percent
Any top-3 pick – 2.54 percent

Representative: GM John Hammond

Chance of getting the:
No. 1 Pick – .6 percent
No. 2 Pick – .71 percent
No. 3 Pick – .87 percent
Any top-3 pick – 2.18 percent

Representative: Vice President of Player Programs, Mark West

Chance of getting the:
No. 1 Pick – .5 percent
No. 2 Pick – .59 percent
No. 3 Pick – .72 percent
Any top-3 pick – 1.81 percent

Representative: Forward Chandler Parsons
Despite their extremely slim chances, Parsons tweeted this out yesterday:
“Off to NYC to get the number 1 pick with my brother.@HoustonRockets”

Who do you think will get the No. 1 pick?

Follow Ananth on Twitter at @Ananth_Pandian.

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