When discussing the current election cycle and presidential campaign, we are told about what the polls say practically endlessly. This poll and that poll and those polls, all with percentages and margins of error and so on, are meant to inform voters and observers who is winning a race at a given time.
But what if polls aren’t the best indicator of who really is on top? Is there a better way to measure the leaders and followers in each primary?
There may well be. And the answer lies in Sin City itself, Las Vegas.
In Vegas, there are bookies who use statistics to set odds for who will win both the primaries and the general election. Websites such as oddschecker.com set the probabilities as to who is going to win and as of this past Friday, Donald Trump leads all Republicans at almost 1-to-1, a prediction that gives him a nearly 50 percent chance of winning that particular primary.
Meanwhile, Florida senator Marco Rubio comes in second, even though he trails Texas senator Ted Cruz by nine points in some polls. And for the general election, at this moment Hillary Clinton leads the way with better than a 50 percent shot at becoming the next president of the United States.
Check out the video above for more info on how Vegas may just be ahead of the curve — and the polls — when it comes to predicting who has the edge in this election season.