Throughout the offseason, we’ve been updating the ever-changing win total odds for each NBA team. There have been some shifts over the past month-plus from teams going up and down as the betting market has dictated movement — or in the case of Minnesota, Jimmy Butler’s trade request has caused it.
What we haven’t discussed much are the odds of teams to make the playoffs. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook also allows you to simply bet whether a team will or won’t make the postseason, rather than trying to project how many wins a team will have.
There are your extreme long shots like the Hawks and Kings who opened at 15-1, teams expected to be battling for position that are hovering near Even odds like the Hornets and Blazers, teams that are mild favorites to make it like that Pelicans, Spurs, Pistons, and Heat, and finally, your massive favorites like the Celtics, Rockets, Raptors, and Warriors.
Golden State is an insane -10000 favorite to reach the postseason, which means for every $100 you bet, you would win $1. You would think at that poor value, no one would really be willing to go after the Warriors playoff odds, but you would be wrong. One bettor at Westgate has $67,000 riding on the Warriors not suffering a stunning collapse this season where everyone gets injured, and if he’s correct, he’ll collect a robust $670 for his efforts.
The NBA regular season is just around the corner. Jeff Sherman @golfodds shares his opinion on the Warriors win total and the bettor who laid $67K on them to make the playoffs.@MitchMossRadio @paulyhoward on #FollowTheMoney
M-F 4A-7A PT/7A-10A ET & replay 9A-12P PT/12P-3P ET pic.twitter.com/I3kogjvHB4— VSiN (@VSiNLive) October 2, 2018
As Jeff Sherman of the SuperBook explained to VSiN, it’s basically like sticking your money in the stock market, likely with less risk. He’s right, and if you just so happen to have that kind of money lying around, the Warriors playoff odds feel pretty safe. It would take multiple season-ending injuries for that to change, but this guy will maybe feel a bit of the sweats the first time one of the stars exits a game early.
