There have been scores of rumors going around about who Negan will kill with his bat, Lucille, in the season premiere of The Walking Dead. AMC, however, has taken measures to ensure that no one is spoiled to the victim’s identity before the episode airs. As hard as the internet has tried, however, it hasn’t been able to spoil the premiere… yet.
Last week, several cast members on The Walking Dead recorded a Happy Birthday message for a big fan of the show, Demi Lovato. Assuming there was no funny business or other trickery, that video — shot on the set of The Walking Dead — seemed to rule out four potential Negan victims: Rick, Daryl, Eugene, and Glenn.
That leaves seven remaining possibilities: Carl, Michonne, Aaron, Sasha, Rosita, Abraham, and Maggie. We can rule out Carl because Negan threatened to feed his other eye to Rick. That leaves six. Unless Negan kills two, we can also fairly rule out Aaron, Sasha, and Rosita because they are not major enough characters to satisfy The Walking Dead audience with their deaths. That leaves three: Abraham, Michonne, and Maggie.
The most likely among those three according to rumors swirling around the internet is Abraham, who died in the comics at the point where Denise died in the TV series. However, assuming again there is no funny business or trickery at play, Michael Cudlitz just ruled himself out in an interview with Popsugar about the death of Denise:
“Her death spurs on a whole bunch of other stuff, and then the audience knows that Abraham will continue for a while now. Now we get to see what a world with Negan and Abraham both in it will be like. That’s something we don’t see in the graphic novels. So a lot of cool stuff happens. For me, knowing that his potential death had come and gone, it was a moment to go, ‘Oh cool, they really aren’t going to stick with what the graphic novel does.’ As a fan of both the novel and the show, it was cool.”
The key line here is: “Abraham will continue for a while now.” In the interview, he also said that he was still getting scripts.
That basically leaves Michonne and Maggie, and I don’t want to say Michonne is untouchable, but Michonne is untouchable. That ultimately makes pregnant Maggie the most likely victim, which gives new meaning to clues from her Instagram account. It also may illustrate why those who have seen the scene have felt so disturbed by it.
We don’t know for sure that it’s Maggie, of course, but that’s where all the evidence seems to be pointing.