The 2015 Rock And Roll Hall Of Fame Induction Ceremony airs this weekend on HBO. This class of inductees includes Green Day, Bill Withers, Lou Reed, Stevie Ray Vaughan, Joan Jett & The Blackhearts, and The Paul Butterfield Blues Band. Per the Rock And Roll Hall Of Fame rules, artists and acts are eligible for nomination 25 years after their first album is released, and not everyone gets in on their first ballot.
With that in mind, we decided to play fortune teller with the music of this decade and look into the future, pulling one artist each from today’s biggest genres that we think is bound for induction when their time comes. (It should be noted that these aren’t our votes for who should be in, but rather who we think has the best chance according to the Hall.)
Traditional Rock: Jack White and Foo Fighters (tie)
First Jack White album released: 2012
Eligible for induction: 2037
The White prediction seems like the lock of the century, provided that everything stays the same with the nomination process. Jack White is the model musician for the current RRHOF: he’s incredibly gifted, he’s almost cantankerous with how serious he is about his music, he has a look and aesthetic he’s created for himself, and he’s rooted from older styles like the blues. If the Hall could invent an album from 1990 and nominate him now, they would. As a matter of fact, by the time 2037 rolls around and White is eligible for induction as a solo artist, he’ll already likely have a spot in the Hall for his work with The White Stripes (if Meg will even answer her phone). But at this point, his work as a solo artist (including as a producer) might trump his work with Meg.
First Foo Fighters album released: 1995
Eligible for induction: 2020
Do we really need to explain this? Foo Fighters are this generation’s dominant (and maybe only true?) stadium rock band. Unlike Jack White, everyone likes Dave Grohl and his everyman charm, he’s already been inducted with Nirvana, and Grohl is well known as a steward of music history, which the Hall loves.
Other potential nominees: The Black Keys, Wilco
Indie: Arcade Fire
First Arcade Fire album released: 2004
Eligible for induction: 2029
The tastes of the current Rock And Roll Hall Of Fame skew towards more traditional successes. This includes massive radio play, record-breaking sales, and also critical acclaim. But that 25 year gap will soon catch up to a shifting record industry where sales and critical value aren’t entirely aligned. This is the moment when an act like Arcade Fire, who will never sell as many records as a shoo-in like Radiohead, will get in.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5OmMPaLmxKg
Other potential nominees: The National, Vampire Weekend
Ahmet Ertegun Award (Producers/Non-Performers): Pharrell Williams
First Pharrell Williams production released: 2005
Eligible for induction: 2030
Pharrell has been so influential with creating a sound, crafting so many No. 1 hits, and crossing so many genres as an irreplaceable producer. He could easily be eligible as early as 2018 with his work with Chad Hugo as The Neptunes, but we’re strictly counting him solo here and letting those other productions be grandfathered in. We can only hope in his future acceptance speech, he gives the stage to the notoriously snubbed Nile Rodgers of Chic, and that Rodgers lets all of the voters have it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F7xB4l8_frc
Other potential nominees: Dr. Luke, Max Martin
Soul/R&B: Adele
First Adele album released: 2008
Eligible for induction: 2033
Again, someone like Adele seems like she was created in a laboratory to win Grammys and gain entry into the Rock And Roll Hall Of Fame. Her soulful influences, her dynamite booming voice, and her pithy personality — it all adds up to what the Hall loves. Her entrance into that exclusive club is essentially a foregone conclusion.
Other potential nominees: D’Angelo, Frank Ocean
Hip-Hop: Kanye West
First Kanye West album released: 2004
Eligible for induction: 2029
The RRHOF doesn’t have the best track record with genres that aren’t rock or straightforward R&B music — there are only four hip-hop acts that have been inducted. But if Kanye West doesn’t get into the Rock And Roll Hall Of Fame, he will probably build his own hall as a monument to his anger. And frankly, he should. He is truly unrivaled in the contemporary popular music space in terms of pushing the envelope artistically. And his speech would be unbelievable after being introduced by fellow future inductee Beyoncé.
Other potential nominees: Drake, Kendrick Lamar
Pop: Beyoncé
First Beyoncé album released: 2003
Eligible for induction: 2028
Speaking of Beyoncé… you don’t get the rightful nickname Queen Bey for no reason. While the Hall is light on straightforward pop artists (no Whitney Houston is a particular oversight), Bey is the alpha and omega in popular music. If she’s not inducted on the first ballot in 2028, Lake Erie will burn… well, again.
Other potential nominees: Katy Perry, Rihanna
Electronic/Dance: deadmau5
First deadmau5 album released: 2005
Eligible for induction: 2030
Dance music on a critical level has been routinely disrespected since the 1970s. No artists who could even be construed as dance acts have ever been inducted. But as the voting for the RRHOF gets younger, it’s very possible these flood gates could open up. While Daft Punk seems like the obvious torchbearer in this scenario, they would have to be passed over a lot for this to make sense. With that in mind, we decided to go with deadmau5, which may sound crazy, but he’s wildly successful when it comes to touring, record sales, and Grammy nods — all of which the Hall loves. It’s not too farfetched to see that red mouse head in the Rock And Roll Hall Of Fame.
Other potential nominees: Mark Ronson, Skrillex
Country: Taylor Swift
First Taylor Swift album released: 2006
Eligible for induction: 2031
OK, so Taylor Swift could hardly be considered a country artist now, so that title may seem especially warped by the time 2031 rolls around. But if you would believe it, the RRHOF refuses to acknowledge country music, just as it does for dance. Enormous, absolutely influential legends like Willie Nelson, Dolly Parton, Merle Haggard, George Jones, and Loretta Lynn are not in the Hall Of Fame. Hank Williams and Woody Guthrie were added in the Early Influences category, but anything past the 1960s isn’t happening. To get in to the Hall as a country artist, you have to be a crossover star like Johnny Cash or Elvis Presley. Taylor Swift is now officially a crossover star, and the only one in the current country landscape who could potentially make the leap as successfully as she has.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mVFqkcSwTgk
Other potential nominees: None